Forums: My Oscar Predictions for 2005-2006

Best Picture:
A History of Violence 8 Academy Award Nominations
Jarhead 9 Academy Award Nominations
King Kong 7 Academy Award Nominations
Memoirs of a Geisha
Walk the Line 8 Academy Award Nominations

Best Director:
David Cronenberg: A History of Violence
Peter Jackson: King Kong
James Mangold: Walk the Line
Rob Marshall: Memoirs of a Geisha
Sam Mendes: Jarhead

Best Actor in a Leading Role:
Don Cheadle: Crash 2 Academy Award Nominations
Ralph Fiennes: The Constant Gardener 2 Academy Award Nominations
Viggo Mortenson: A History of Violence
Joaquin Pheonix: Walk the Line
David Straithrn: Good Night & Good Luck

Best Actress in a Leading Role:
Judi Dench: Mrs. Henderson Presents 3 Academy Award Nominations
Diane Keaton: The Family Stone 1 Academy Award Nomination
Keira Knightley: Pride & Prejudice 3 Academy Award Nominations
Uma Thurman: The Producers 4 Academy Award Nominations
Reese Witherspoon: Walk the Line

Best Actor in a Supporting Role:
Paul Giamatti: Cinderella Man 3 Nominations
Ed Harris: A History of Violence
Bob Hoskins: Mrs. Henderson Presents
Ken Watanbe: Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Actress in a Supporting Role:
Rosario Dawson: Rent 3 Nominations
Scarlett Johnanson: Match Point 1 Nomination
Catherine Keener: Capote
Gong Li: Memoirs of a Geisha
Shirley McLaine: Rumor Has It 2 Nominations

Best Original Screenplay:
The 40-Year Old Virgin 1 Nomination
Crash
Good Night & Good Luck
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Walk the Line

Best Adapted Screenplay:
The Constant Gardener
A History of Violence
Jarhead
King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha

Best Doc*mentary Feature:
Enron-Smartest Guys in the Room 1
Grizzly Man 1
Mad, Hat Ballroom 1
March of the Penguins 1
Murderball 1

Best Art Direction:
Charlie and The Chocolate Factory 2
Cinderella Man
A History of Violence
The Producers
Walk the Line

Best Animated Feature:
Howl's Moving Castle 1
Madagascar 1
Robots 1
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride 3
Wallace and Gromit: Curse of the Were Rabbit 1

Best Costume Design:
Jarhead
Memoirs of a Geisha
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Pride and Prejudice
The Producers

Best Cinematography
Good Night & Good Luck
Jarhead
King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
Walk the Line

Best Film Editing:
A History of Violence
Jarhead
King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
Walk the Line

Best Original Score:
Charlie & the Chocolate Factory
Cinderella Man
Memoirs of a Geisha
Jarhead
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride

Best Original Song:
Elizabethtown 1
The Producers
Rent
Rumor Has It
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride

Best Sound:
Cinderella Man
Jarhead
Munich 1
Walk the Line
War of the Worlds 3

Best Sound F/X:
King Kong
Star Wars: Episode III 2
War of the Worlds

Best Visual F/X:
King Kong
Star Wars: Episode 3
War of the Worlds

Best Make-Up:
Batman Begins 1
Memoirs of a Geisha
Rent

Stick that pot back in your mouth and shut up.

:roll: What?

Arent' some of those movies, you know, not out yet?

I know that, but I'm always over at Oscarwatch.com, where make daring predictions and see into the future of what will be nominated for Oscar come March 5th, 2006.

I prefer to watch them and judge them myself then let some voters to tell me whats good.

You don't follow the Oscars that much do you, dogbone.

Not since the whole Tomei incident. I dont hold much faith in the whole thing.

Son, i shall educate you.

It really doesn't matter what oscarwatch.com says because they havnt seen the movies that havnt come out yet and neither have you. You are letting your urge to write predictions out-weigh your common sense. just be paitent and wait for there to be a full board before you start making these god damn threads. Or at least stop calling them predictions...because that is not what they are.

And for the record, Ralph Fiennes will not win the award. IF he gets nominated, it will be by sheer luck. He was very good in the constant gardener but he didn't have more than 100 lines. He wasn't the lead for half the film until the hero shift took place. You had some wise picks but you made tons of mistakes as well. You may have a good idea of the awards but that doesn't mean you have a good sense of what it takes to win an award. films like Crash and the constant gardener do not get nominated for performances. it just doesnt happen. They will get nominated and win for writing, cinematography, and directing. but for the acting awards you need to look at who DOMINATED their film. Which person would the film not have worked without? If it was Kevin Spacey or His brother Joseph in The Constant gardener, would it of made it a much worse film? If Kevin Bacon or Sean Penn were in Crash isntead of Dillon, would it have been worse? The answer is no. and that's what you need to start thinking about before making your oscar picks.

But, I'm anticipating and guessing what's going to be nominated for the Oscar. It's pre-mature but I do it anyways.

then please call your threads what they are...premature guesses. A prediction is something very different.

Here our my predictions from what's been out. Not all categories are final.

Best Picture
Crash
Cinderella Man
Proof

Best Director
Paul Haggis for Crash
John Madden for Proof
Ron Howard for Cinderella Man
Steven Spielberg for Munich

Best Actor
Russell Crowe for Cinderella Man
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line

Best Actress
Gwyneth Paltrow for Proof
Chalize Theron for Noth Country
Renee Zellweger for Cinderella Man
Joan Allen for The Upside of Anger

Best Supporting Actor
Anthony Hopkins for Proof
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man
Ian McDiarmind for Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith
Terrence Howard for Crash
Don Cheadle for Crash

Best Supporting Actress
Hope Davis for Proof
Catherine Keener for The Interpreter
Frances McDormand for North Country

Here our my predictions from what's been out. Not all categories are final.

Best Picture
Crash
Cinderella Man
Proof

Best Director
Paul Haggis for Crash
John Madden for Proof
Ron Howard for Cinderella Man
Steven Spielberg for Munich

Best Actor
Russell Crowe for Cinderella Man
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line

Best Actress
Gwyneth Paltrow for Proof
Chalize Theron for Noth Country
Renee Zellweger for Cinderella Man
Joan Allen for The Upside of Anger

Best Supporting Actor
Anthony Hopkins for Proof
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man
Ian McDiarmind for Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith
Terrence Howard for Crash
Don Cheadle for Crash

Best Supporting Actress
Hope Davis for Proof
Catherine Keener for The Interpreter
Frances McDormand for North Country

You know, I went to see Proof totally expecting it to blow me away, and on paper it seems like it was made to be nominated: Oscar winning cast, based on a Pulitzer Prize winning play. I hate to say it, but I was kind of disappointed. I mean, it wasn't bad, but I don't think it lived up to it's expectations at all, which was too bad because I love the cast.

Welcome to Oscar season. Where overhyped movies get all kinds of nominations they can use in their ad campaigns in hopes to get viewers to see a film they normally wouldn't because they can tell it's going to be a run-of-the-mill, made by the book, ordinary Hollywood drama. Can you tell I have strong feelings about the Academy and Golden Globes. :D

HERE ARE THE WINNING PREDICTIONS AT SUCH AN EARLY STAGE -

BEST PICTURE -

MUNICH
KING KONG
WALK THE LINE
SYRIANA OR GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK

AND THE WINNER - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN

BEST ACTOR -

JOAQUIN PHOENIX - WALK THE LINE
HEATH LEDGER - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
ERIC BANA - MUNICH

THE OTHER TWO PLACES ARE UP FOR GRABS AND THE LIKELY CONTENDERS ARE-

RALPH FIENNES - THE CONSTANT GARDENER
PHILLIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN - CAPOTE
DAVID STRAITHARN - GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK
JOHNNY DEPP - THE LIBERTINE
RUSSELL CROWE - CINDERELLA MAN

BEST ACTRESS -

SURE THINGS -

REESE WITHERSPOON - WALK THE LINE
JUDI DENCH - MRS HENDERSON PRESENTS

LIKELY -

FELICITY HUFFMAN - TRANSAMERICA
CHARLIZE THERON - NORTH COUNTRY
KEIRA KNIGHTLEY - PRIDE AND PREJUDICE

OTHERS -

ZHANG ZIYI - MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA
JOAN ALLEN - THE UPSIDE OF ANGER

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR -

JAKE GYLLENHAAL - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
GEOFFREY RUSH - MUNICH
BOB HOSKINS - MRS HENDERSON PRESENTS

OTHERS -

DON CHEADLE/MATT DILLON - CRASH
WILLIAM HURT - A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE
MATTHEW BRODERICK - THE PRODUCERS
GEORGE CLOONEY - SYRIANA

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS -

MICHELLE WILLIAMS - BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
DIANE KEATON - THE FAMILY STONE
SCARLETT JOHANSSON - MATCH POINT
RACHAEL WEISZ - THE CONSTANT GARDENER

OTHERS -

UMA THURMAN - THE PRODUCERS
LAURA LINNEY - THE SQUID AND THE WHALE

AND FINALLY BEST FEATURE ANIMATION -

WALLACE AND GROMIT THE WINNER WITH NOMINEES

THE CORPSE BRIDE
AND EITHET MADAGASCAR/CHICKEN LITTLE/HOWLS MOVING CASTLE

Some of these predictions just seem rediculous to me. Infact pretty much all of them do. They haven't even listed the freaking nominations yet have they? I guess some people just can't keep it in their pants. :roll:

Well, I am not a major fan of Oscars and dont care much way either but I think The AMPAS will go for Rachel Weisz. Ill tell you my reasons:

Everyone thinks Michelle Williams has the top spot. Mark my words, she hasnt. She is incredible in Brokeback but so is Ledger. Far more importantly, she is a TV actress and this is her first major role. On the contrary, Weisz is excellent and plays a multi faceted character. On top she is maybe Gardener's only chance of a win. Furthermore, she has established herself as an actress in Behind Enemy Lines and Runaway Jury and also has the blockbuster Mummy films to her credit. She is a more "stable choice".

For Williams, it is "Hey, the movie is excellent and so are Ledger and Williams"; for Weisz it is "What a performance! She takes the movie to another level!"

As for SAG, I think Weisz is the possible winner, but maybe (my gut feeling tells me) Keener might walk away with the award.In that case the competition at AMPAS toughens, but it will likely be Weisz (with Keener playing default). Im certain Williams wont win.

Remember last year, everyone predicted Madsen. I pinned for Blanchett. You know what counted the most? The snub for Elizabeth in 1998. Critics said it was one of the worst snubs in Oscar history (i fully agree). Its high time she was given an Oscar (plus with the LOTR publicity, it was obvious) I say again, Weisz is the more "stable choice" this year.

I'm new here, but I'd like to give you my predictions. (Winners are all CAPS and Bold)

Best Picture
BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Crash
Good Night and Good Luck
Muncih
Walk The Line

Best Director
George Clooney for Good Night and Good Luck
Paul Haggis for Crash
Peter Jackson for King Kong
ANG LEE for Brokeback Mountain
Steven Speilberg for Munich

Best Actor
PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN for Capote
Terrence Howard for Hustle and Flow
Heath Ledger for Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line
Daniel Strathairn for Good Night and Good Luck

Best Actress
Joan Allen for The Upside of Anger
Dame Judi Dench for Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman for Transamerica
Charlize Theron for North Country
REESE WITHERSPOON for Walk the Line

Best Supporting Actor
George Clooney for Syriana
Matt Dillon for Crash
PAUL GIAMATTI for Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback Mountain
Terrence Howard for Crash

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams for Junebug
Catherine Keener for Capote
Frances McDormand for North Country
MICHELLE WILLIAMS for Brokeback Mountian
Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener

Best Original Screenplay
Cinderella Man
CRASH
Good Night and Good Luck
Syriana
The 40 Year Old Virgin

Best Adapted Screenplay
BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Capote
The Constant Gardener
Munich
Walk the Line

Well, there they are. We'll see whose nominated Jan 31!!