BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS: Will ‘Fast Five’ Zoom to $75 Million?

The blockbuster summer season is here as ‘Fast Five’ shifts into the fast lane and onto theater screens.


I don't know about you, but I'm a little bleary-eyed after getting up at 5:30 AM to watch the royal nuptials. Thusly, I'm not going to any movies tonight, but the rest of America probably isn't feeling quite so tired. So let's see what the Box Office Crystal Ball forecasts for our dear sweet film industry (America's royalty?) this weekend.

People are buzzing that today's take for Fast Five, the 4th sequel to The Fast and the Furious, could reach $30 million or so. WOW. I guess moviegoers are starved for some summer movie action after a few long weeks of animated movies dominating the top spot. If that information tracks, it looks like the film is poised to make at least $75 million over the weekend. Impressive because this is bigger than all the previous entries in the franchise. Get ready for a blockbuster season.

Previous box office champ Rio (with two weeks in the #1 position) should finally fall, but expect it to stay strong and hold onto the number two spot. It looks like the other kiddie films Hoodwinked Too! Hood Vs. Evil, Hop, Prom, and African Cats won't have the mojo to outfly the birds.

The other three new entries of note this week are not looking so strong. Prom is going to be the interesting one to watch because who, besides tweens, is going to see this? It's supposed to be a bit more mature than the High School Musical series it is clearly emulating, but I'm not sure who exactly is dying to see this. The predictions I've seen say it should make over $9 million. Will it? Disney's new production head sure hopes so as this is the first film to reach theaters that he has personally greenlit since assuming his post. The studio's African Cats might fall out of the top ten completely.

The same goes for Scream 4 apparently. The numbers I'm seeing indicate its genre-brother Insidious has better staying power. I'm surprised by that.

Meanwhile there is something called Dylan Dog: Dead of Night (which sounds rather unappealing) and it should bring up the rear of the new releases with just under $5 million.

Like I said earlier, I'm zonked from the royal wedding so I'm staying home. If you are heading to the movies this weekend, what will you be seeing?

Fast Five was released April 29th, 2011 and stars Vin Diesel, Paul Walker, Jordana Brewster, Tyrese Gibson, Ludacris, Matt Schulze, Sung Kang, Gal Gadot. The film is directed by Justin Lin.

Prom was released April 29th, 2011 and stars Aimee Teegarden, Thomas McDonell, DeVaughn Nixon, Danielle Campbell, Yin Chang, Jared Kusnitz, Nolan Sotillo, Cameron Monaghan. The film is directed by Joe Nussbaum.

Hoodwinked Too! Hood Vs. Evil was released April 29th, 2011 and stars Glenn Close, Hayden Panettiere, Cheech Marin, Patrick Warburton, Joan Cusack, Bill Hader, David Ogden Stiers, Amy Poehler. The film is directed by Mike Disa.

Dylan Dog: Dead of Night was released April 29th, 2011 and stars Brandon Routh, Anita Briem, Sam Huntington, Peter Stormare, Taye Diggs, Paulington James Christensen III, Kurt Angle, Brian Steele. The film is directed by Kevin Munroe.

Sources: David Ozanich

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Comments (39)

  1. Monkeyiron 2.0

    I agree the predictions

    4 years agoby @Monkey-ironFlag

  2. TheDude1

    Fast Five is on pace for 80 million or more this weekend. WOW will this franchise ever slow down?

    4 years agoby @thedude1Flag

  3. Jimthar

    @dan1 yeah it absolutely sets up the next movie in a big way. but thats all im gonna say about it. you get 2 big surprises in that one little scene so.....i'll just leave it at that.

    4 years agoby @jimtharFlag

  4. Diaigma

    @aaron-seth - we'll see. 46 fresh reviews out of 49 say otherwise :P

    4 years agoby @diaigmaFlag

  5. Aaron Seth

    @diaigma, well the story itself is pretty bland and straightforward. This is THOR we're talking about here, it NEEDS action! :/

    4 years agoby @aaron-sethFlag

  6. moviegeek

    @diaigma Dreamworks always tends to open larger than Pixar (mostly because they produce more sequels and time their releases better). Yea... cars :P Green Lantern, at very best, could post Fantastic Four-type numbers (opening between $55 and $60), but that's not looking too likely.

    4 years agoby @moviegeekFlag

  7. SomethingMore

    That can be big year....For Dwayane Johnnson...Because of his 2 movies.
    Fast Five
    Jounrney to mysterious Island!!!

    4 years agoby @SomethingMoreFlag

  8. SomethingMore

    That can be big year....For Dwayane Johnnson...Because of his 2 movies.
    Fast Five
    Jounrney to mysterious Island

    4 years agoby @SomethingMoreFlag

  9. Diaigma

    @aaron-seth - so it's more story driven than action oriented? Just what I would expect from a Branagh film! Now I know I'll love it! Enjoy Bayformers 3, man :P

    4 years agoby @diaigmaFlag

  10. Aaron Seth

    @diaigma watched Thor yesterday. NOT impressed by it at ALL. needed a lot more action. major FAIL!

    4 years agoby @aaron-sethFlag

  11. Diaigma

    @moviegeek - that's quite the forecast. Sucks to see GL so low, from your list, but I'm happy to see Panda is higher than Cars "Junkyard" 2. Agreed on Potter. The world-wide hype for the finale is unheard of. All we can do is see what happens. My next ticket is for Thor, not Fast Five :P

    4 years agoby @diaigmaFlag

  12. Chris

    Saw fast five today and that movie was sweet hopefully it makes more than 75 million

    4 years agoby @unknown21Flag

  13. Bawnian©-Dexeus

    @moviegeek Until it gets rebooted

    4 years agoby @bawnian-dexeusFlag

  14. moviegeek

    @dan1 Supposedly the 6th will be the last. :P

    4 years agoby @moviegeekFlag

  15. Messenger


    Yeah I loved Cars but the second looks to out there from the first.

    4 years agoby @messengerFlag

  16. Dan

    @jimthar I imagine it's a setup for Fast/Furious 6?

    4 years agoby @dan1Flag

  17. Jimthar

    just saw this tonight and it kicked ass. best car chase scene EVER and yeah, DEFINATELY stay after the credits. you get 2 big surprises in one scene. dont leave the theatre!

    4 years agoby @jimtharFlag

  18. Dan

    @moviegeek I don't think Pirates will make that much, but who knows. And what's my slogan for Cars? F*ck Cars 2 :P

    4 years agoby @dan1Flag

  19. Accessjam

    just watched Fast Five and it was very cool........the whole gang from all the franchise was a very cool idea...and Dywayne Johnson was kicking ass....this movie deserves it...and you might wanna stay after the credits???......

    4 years agoby @accessjamFlag

  20. moviegeek

    @dan1 Have you SEEN Fast Five's international numbers?? It'll probably smack $500-$600 mil worldwide.

    @diaigma Again, neither Thor or Five have superb reviews. Critics like the movie in unanimity, but few love em.

    If I was to predict the biggest openings of the summer it'd be:

    Harry Potter: $160 (It has an excellent shot at breaking the weekend record)
    Transformers 3: $155 (Likewise an excellent shot at the record, assuming they don't move the release to a Wednesday or Thursday)
    Kung Fu Panda: $115
    Pirates 4: $110
    Hangover: $95
    Cars 2: $80
    Thor: $75
    X-Men: $65
    Cpt. America: $60
    Super 8: $50
    Rise of POA: $45
    Green Lantern: $45
    Cowboys and Aliens: $40

    There it stands. I'll probably be way off on a few of these, but that's the fun of it :D

    4 years agoby @moviegeekFlag

  21. MovieFreakDigital

    My guess is Fast Five - since being the only BIG movie opening this weekend could possibly do 80-85 million if it brings in it's fans in herds.

    Thor/Green Lantern/Captain America combined will dominate the summer. Thor will definitely bring in the B/O without question. Those rave reviews will help as will word of mouth.

    4 years agoby @inhighdefFlag

  22. Diaigma

    @dan1 - has a point.
    @moviegeek - Thor's reviews are much better, but I can see that :P

    4 years agoby @diaigmaFlag

  23. Dan

    @moviegeek Thor will crush in international sales though, I bet. Strong word of mouth globally.

    4 years agoby @dan1Flag

  24. moviegeek

    @diaigma you're out of the loop lol. I think "Five" could open higher than Thor will next week. It's material is more accessible, even though they are both getting great reviews.

    4 years agoby @moviegeekFlag

  25. Diaigma

    @moviegeek - wow, and to think I have no interest in it whatsoever :P

    4 years agoby @diaigmaFlag

  26. moviegeek

    @diaigma It could double the highest opener of the year (Rio with $39)

    4 years agoby @moviegeekFlag

  27. moviegeek

    I think Fast Five will hit right around 80, but it could be even a little higher.

    4 years agoby @moviegeekFlag

  28. Diaigma

    That's quite the score. Nothing's opened that big this year yet, right?

    4 years agoby @diaigmaFlag

  29. Salem6777

    this will probably happen sadly and fast and the furious will we get 4 more sequels/prequels

    4 years agoby @Salem6777Flag

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