BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS: Can ‘Sucker Punch’ Clobber the Charts This Weekend?

Or does ‘Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Rodrick Rules’ have enough muscle to pull itself into the number one position?


Limitless turned in a surprising upset at the box office last weekend, earning an unexpected $18 million to take that coveted number one position at the top of the charts away from expected winner Battle: Los Angeles, which fell to number three in its second week of release.

But can Bradley Cooper's dirty drug habits keep him afloat for a second straight week in a row? That is highly unlikely as director Zack Snyder debuts his long-awaited first original big screen concept with the non-remake Sucker Punch. Plus, we can't overlook the family friendly fan favorite Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules, which could prove to have enough muscle to take down Baby Doll and her dangerous insane asylum denizens.

Sucker Punch is expected to take the top position on this weekend's box officer charts with close to $26 million, which may be over shooting it a bit. While Zack Snyder has his fans, and they've been waiting for this one for quite a long time, awareness for the pic is down, with many folks standing outside genre circles confused by the film's marketing approach. Snyder's last film Watchmen earned $55 million when it opened on March 6th of 2009. That movie was an adaptation of a popular DC comic book, and garnered a hefty opening weekend due to its already established fanbase. Sucker Punch has no such fan base, and early word of mouth from Thursday night screenings is telling us that it's a loud, unnecessary essay on the excesses of filmmaking disguised as a loud, unnecessary film. It won't be around for long.

Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules actually stands as stiff competition against Sucker Punch, with an already firmly established fan base, and a franchise based on a series of popular books by Jeff Kinney. Its unlikely that Rodrick Rules will best Sucker Punch, but its estimated to pull in about $25 million, which accounts for that missing half of Watchmen's initial box office take back in 2009. Opening this same time last year, the first Diary of a Wimpy Kid took in a solid $22 million. Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules has the added bonus of being a family film, which will snag all of the younger folks. And a lot of older males, who caught the original on DVD, are looking forward to this follow-up, which could, believe it or not, pull some of Sucker Punch's intended audience away. Especially when it comes to 18-35 year old fathers with young sons.

Limitless will certainly be heavy hit by the combined release of Sucker Punch and Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2, but it is still predicted to fall no further than third place for its second weekend, with an estimated $11 million take. Which isn't a drastic drop from its initial bow last week. Good word of mouth will keep it around for a while.

Opening in limited release is Julian Schnabel's latest film Miral, which, with its surrounding controversy, should impact this weekend's per screen average quite a bit, landing it at the top of that particular chart.

Be sure to check back in on Sunday, when esteemed New York-based writer David Ozanich will be taking over the Box Office columns for us on a regular basis.

Limitless was released March 18th, 2011 and stars Bradley Cooper, Robert De Niro, Abbie Cornish, Andrew Howard, Anna Friel, Johnny Whitworth, Tomas Arana, Robert John Burke. The film is directed by Neil Burger.

Sucker Punch was released March 25th, 2011 and stars Emily Browning, Abbie Cornish, Jena Malone, Vanessa Hudgens, Jamie Chung, Carla Gugino, Oscar Isaac, Jon Hamm. The film is directed by Zack Snyder.

Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules was released March 25th, 2011 and stars Zachary Gordon, Devon Bostick, Rachael Harris, Robert Capron, Steve Zahn, Connor Fielding, Owen Fielding, Peyton List. The film is directed by David Bowers.

Sources: Jami Philbrick's Mom
Tags: Box Office

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Comments (31)

  1. skywise

    @masta-chiefed haha i know, that is a bit rough.

    4 years agoby @skywiseFlag

  2. TheMime

    po-tay-toes po-ta-toes man......The Mime just watched it last night and it was awesome.....quite an entertainment.

    4 years agoby @themimeFlag

  3. Masta_Chiefed

    Or schumaker is no Snyder.

    4 years agoby @masta-chiefedFlag

  4. Masta_Chiefed

    @skywise Snyder is no Shumacher. Let's never bring that comparison up again.

    4 years agoby @masta-chiefedFlag

  5. skywise

    @masta-chiefed but then again look what happend when Joel Schumacher failed with his crap movies...he was forced to think "outside the box" with a low budget. Tigerland. While its not perfect, it is a pretty decent movie for its shoe string budget.

    4 years agoby @skywiseFlag

  6. Masta_Chiefed

    @skywise Saw it. Thought is was great. Don't go into it looking for dramatic stimulation. It's a pure action film. And yes, if Snyder hadn't landed Superman, or if Superman fails on an epic level, I too am worried about the future budgets Snyder will see.

    4 years agoby @masta-chiefedFlag

  7. skywise

    @masta-chiefed so i take it you already saw the film? Then this is good news my friend. It is definatly the next movie i am going to see. I just really wanted this film to rake in the cash because lets face it, Watchmen was considered a failure and if this bombs it might take a while for Snyder to get enough good will to go back to his original stories. I have the faith tho.

    4 years agoby @skywiseFlag

  8. Masta_Chiefed

    @skywise Cool. Go in with that attitude. The story is explained. Well at least enough for me. The action scenes are so gorgeous. The choreography is so perfect. The entire final battle sequence is one big eyegasm.

    I don't think I'm giving anything away when I say the movie is loosely a dictation on spirit guides and transcendental states of mind. have fun.

    4 years agoby @masta-chiefedFlag

  9. skywise

    @masta-chiefed ok i get what you are saying. I was only comparing the two because both have been slammed for their intense action and little character development. I am a Snyder fan (of the die hard variety) and i have been extremly impressed with his work. Even watchmen, which i loved but find myself in the minority on that one.

    Your right tho, Snyder has an eye for brilliant shots and an imagination to make those shot unique and memorable. I'm on your side.

    4 years agoby @skywiseFlag

  10. Masta_Chiefed

    @skywise Please. Just don't compare Sucker Punch to Battle LA. Battle LA was complete military masturbatory garbage. Sucker Punch just redefined the action sequences for this decade. No one has an eye for creative battles like Snyder.

    Battle LA was like a bad video game. I mean really. Just terrible.

    4 years agoby @masta-chiefedFlag

  11. skywise

    @themime You know after seeing all the previews i was NOT expecting some hardcore drama with a fantastic story...i was expecting exactly what it looks like we are getting...a lot like the way i felt about Batlle LA. I am ok with that. This is a movie about art direction and special effects so take it for what it is.

    4 years agoby @skywiseFlag

  12. TheMime

    right you are @skywise....have you seen the shorts?....they really emphasized how unique it is..... The Mime say it's going to be great....

    4 years agoby @themimeFlag

  13. skywise

    Sucker Punch is getting hammered by critics but that wont stop me from seeing it. I really hope it is good. It will at least be unique...right? RIGHT?

    4 years agoby @skywiseFlag

  14. bud2fresh

    @TheKingofThorns Yea your right i would have loved more of a "original score" than a music video and some dialogue would have been better but it was nice to see another women other than Mila J. holding her own in a action flick.Like i said i did enjoy this but NO WAY is this worth a 30 dollar blu-ray.

    4 years agoby @bud2freshFlag

  15. JonSpidey07

    hope Sucker Punch dominates!

    4 years agoby @jonspidey07Flag

  16. moviegeek

    Early estimates hold that Wimpy Kid will win the weekend with about $23 mil. Sucker Punch in second with about $20.

    4 years agoby @moviegeekFlag

  17. K.Guy

    Just came back from it. It was epic!

    4 years agoby @kguyFlag

  18. thedude-abides

    I'm never good at predicting box office numbers, so I could be WAY off. But I see Sucker Punch easily taking the weekend. There's just too much eye candy...literally, lol. It's the obvious choice.

    4 years agoby @thedude-abidesFlag

  19. the Narrator

    F*cking disappointing. Even with a PG-13 rating, the film will probably bomb, and arguably rightfully so.

    4 years agoby @narratorFlag

  20. The King of Thorns

    @bud2fresh, the films story was nearly non existent, which is a disappointment as I thought it would at least be decent. The cuts were fast and bad, and a lot of the people sitting next to me were lost unnecessarily quick. The actresses, while being better than some expected, really didn't help to carry the film. Other than a few great (amazing actually) fight scenes, and being allowed the pleasure of watching those fine girls tune every sort of bad ass villain up, the film was an overall long winded music video, as songs seemed to dominate the soundtrack versus a rather good score, and the dialouge, when there, didn't really do anything. The last 10 minutes or so picked up, and the film had some shining moments, but it was just an okay movie at the end of the day.

    4 years agoby @rexspinasFlag

  21. bud2fresh

    If you expected Sucker Punch to have a deep sstory then i don't knnow what trailer you've seen lol I enjoyed the hell out of it! As a man there is nothing i would rather see more than hot women kicking steam zombies and dragon ass !!!!!

    4 years agoby @bud2freshFlag

  22. The King of Thorns

    Really disappointed with Sucker Punch, despite it's few shining strong points. Tsk.

    4 years agoby @rexspinasFlag

  23. Cartman

    Saw Sucker Punch last night!! -> nothing fascinating about it, just huge special effects sequence!! Just an eye candy nothing else!! I would rate the movie 2.5 out of 5.

    It will drop drastically in week 2...

    4 years agoby @c-a-r-t-m-a-nFlag

  24. moviegeek

    I'm guessing Wimpy Kid at $21mil, Sucker at $19, and Limitless with $11.

    4 years agoby @moviegeekFlag

  25. The Boondock Saint

    Really? diary of a wimpy kid at second place? I will be surprised if it breaks 10-15 million.

    4 years agoby @combatmadness360Flag

  26. Emmytt

    i think sucker punch could be good stupid fun!

    4 years agoby @emmyttFlag

  27. fanboy

    I wish Sucker Punch would do better, but from what I hear it kind of sucks, like how Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen sucked, lots of action and pretty effects but no plot. But I guess ill have to find out for my self, as soon as I watch it.

    4 years agoby @fanboyFlag

  28. Dan

    Sucker Punch will bomb.

    4 years agoby @dan1Flag

  29. m2

    #2 will be Limitless and not Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2: Rodrick Rules

    4 years agoby @m2Flag

  30. moviegeek

    I have a feeling Sucker Punch won't top $20 mil.

    4 years agoby @moviegeekFlag

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